Agent-based modeling of agricultural adaptation to climate change in a mountainous area of Southwest Germany
- Publikations-Art
- Kongressband
- Autoren
- Troost, C., Calberto, G., Berger, T., Ingwersen, J., Priesack, E., Warrach-Sagi, K., Walter, T.
- Erscheinungsjahr
- 2012
- Veröffentlicht in
- International Environmental Modelling and Software Society (iEMSs)
- Tagungsname
- 2012 International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software Managing Resources of a Limited Planet, Sixth Biennial Meeting
- Tagungsort
- Leipzig, Germany
- Tagungsdatum
- 1.7. - 5.7.2012
- Schlagworte
- sustainability
We present an agent-based model of climate change adaptation for the agricultural sector of the Central Swabian Alps, a mountainous area in South Western Germany. Apart from climate effects on crop yields, the model also captures effects on crop rotation options, available time for fieldwork and exogenous price effects as potential pathways of climate change impact. First results underline the capacity of the model to simulate short-term adaptation and point to the importance of capturing future price developments to predict land-use effects of adaptation. For full dynamic simulations of the process of adaptation, the model will be extended with realistic learning algorithms and a land market module.
Beteiligte Personen
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
- Forschungszentrum für Bioökonomie
- Fg. Ökonomik der Landnutzung in den Tropen und Subtropen (Josef G. Knoll Professur)
- Institut für Tropische Agrarwissenschaften (Hans-Ruthenberg-Institut)
- Forschungszentrum für Globale Ernährungssicherung und Ökosysteme
- Hohenheim Tropen
- Klimaanpassung
- Bioökonomische Modellierung
Projekte im Rahmen der Publikation
- DFG-FOR 1695: Agricultural Landscapes under Global Climate Change – Processes and Feedbacks on a Regional Scale
- DFG-FOR 1695: Central project management and communication (PZ)
- DFG-FOR: Agent-based modelling and assessment of human-environment interactions (P6)
- DFG-FOR: Integrated land system modeling (P8)
- DFG-PAK: Agent-based modelling and assessment of human-environment interactions (P6)
- DFG-PAK: Conceptual and technical integration of land system model components (P8)
- DFG-PAK: Structure and Functions of Agricultural Landscapes under Global Climate Change - Processes and Projections on a Regional Scale (Regional Climate Change)
- Scientific Software Project MPMAS