Agent-based Modelling of Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Options in Agriculture
- Publikations-Art
- Zeitschriftenbeitrag (peer-reviewed)
- Autoren
- Berger, T., Troost, C.
- Erscheinungsjahr
- 2014
- Veröffentlicht in
- Journal of Agricultural Economics
- Band/Volume
- 65/2
- DOI
- 10.1111/1477-9552.12045
- Seite (von - bis)
- 323-348
- Schlagworte
- MP-MAS, Nachhaltigkeit
Computer simulation models can provide valuable insights for climate-related analysis and help streamline policy interventions for improved adaptation and mitigation in agriculture. Computable general equilibrium (CGE) and partial equilibrium (PE) models are currently being expanded to include land-use change and energy markets so that the effects of various policy measures on agricultural production can be assessed. Agent-based modelling (ABM) or multi-agent systems (MAS) have been suggested as a complementary tool for assessing farmer responses to climate change in agriculture and how these are affected by policies. MAS applied to agricultural systems draw on techniques used for Recursive Farm Programming, but include models of all individual farms, their spatial interactions and the natural environment. In this article, we discuss the specific insights MAS provide for developing robust policies and land-use strategies in response to climate change. We show that MAS are well-suited for uncertainty analysis and can thereby complement existing simulation approaches to advance the understanding and implementation of effective climate-related policies in agriculture.
Beteiligte Personen
Beteiligte Einrichtungen
- Fg. Ökonomik der Landnutzung in den Tropen und Subtropen (Josef G. Knoll Professur)
- Institut für Tropische Agrarwissenschaften (Hans-Ruthenberg-Institut)
- Forschungszentrum für Bioökonomie
- DFG-Forschergruppe 1695: Regional Climate Change
- Hohenheim Tropen
- Forschungszentrum für Globale Ernährungssicherung und Ökosysteme
- Klimaanpassung
- Klimaschutz
- Bioökonomische Modellierung
Projekte im Rahmen der Publikation
- BMBF: Carbon sequestration, biodiversity and social structures in Southern Amazonia: models and implementation of carbon-optimized land management strategies
- DFG-FOR 1695: Agricultural Landscapes under Global Climate Change – Processes and Feedbacks on a Regional Scale
- DFG-FOR 1695: Central project management and communication (PZ)
- DFG-FOR: Agent-based modelling and assessment of human-environment interactions (P6)
- DFG-FOR: Integrated land system modeling (P8)
- DFG-PAK: Agent-based modelling and assessment of human-environment interactions (P6)
- DFG-PAK: Conceptual and technical integration of land system model components (P8)
- DFG-PAK: Structure and Functions of Agricultural Landscapes under Global Climate Change - Processes and Projections on a Regional Scale (Regional Climate Change)
- Farmer Adaptation to Climate Variability in Subsaharan Africa
- Scientific Software Project MPMAS